You wouldn’t think capitalism would be much of a topic these days, but surprisingly, it is. The existing capital structures have failed abysmally in so many ways in the last few decades, and the pandemic has engraved the message on the world.
An already unbalanced, focus-less situation has got so much worse. Wealth is ludicrous. So few people are actually wealthy, and so many can’t afford basics. Even millionaires can be wiped out by a medical bill. Education is obscenely expensive, making obtaining critical skills so difficult.
Credit is totally out of control. China’s debt mountain Evergrande is a case in point, threatening to do some real damage in the credit market. It’s hardly the only one, either. There are many listed companies on the stock markets which are said to be running entirely on debt. It’s about as unhealthy as it sounds. People bought and own all that debt. Debts can devalue to zero.
In the past, credit was a huge driver of economic progress. Now it’s a gigantic, shapeless, unquantifiable monster. It’s a huge amount of debt, much of it dubiously recoverable. Write-downs are more or less routine. That money came and went, and was lost by both debtors and creditors.
These are just some of the ways capitalism now routinely creates more problems than it can solve:
- The Great Global Price Gouge is systematically cleaning people out. Personal capital can and usually does erode, fast.
- Affordability is non-existent for everything from rent to education to day care to something as basic as buying a home.
- Financial security is now simply a legend of the past for the most recent two generations. Their employment will be stop/start/contract employment. It won’t and can’t be the 40 years paying off a mortgage scenario. They simply won’t be able to get loans, even if they can pretend they can afford the insane housing prices.
- “Wealth distribution” is a bad joke. How can you even think wealth is “distributed” anymore? It’s not. Real wealth has gravitated up to the upper brackets, and there it will probably stay.
- More common is “wealth dilution”, in which wealth progressively diminishes as capital from estates splits into ever-smaller amounts. Very few families can remain rich for more than a few generations at best.
- The rich avoid tax routinely and put the costs on the lower brackets. This is real capitalism at work; for itself and nobody else.
- “Get a job” doesn’t work at all anymore in terms of creating personal capital. Unless you’re on a very solid salary, you’re basically on a subsistence-level income. You can work from 17 to 70 and be just as broke as when you started. The Great Resignation is if nothing else realistic in that sense.
- In future, employment as it is now won’t even exist. It’s more likely, ironically enough, that you’ll be working at home on multiple jobs. The good news is that multiple income streams do work and you don’t have to worry about working for some nutcase employer when you have other options. The bad news is that this way of earning money is like being a freelancer – Feast or famine, more than likely famine. It’s very tricky.
- Black money is now a massive, nasty, participant in the global economy. Illegal money is now probably worth trillions. This money is dangerous, fuels speculation, drives surges in things like the stock market and Bitcoin, and does damage by market manipulation. This type of capitalism is entirely destructive and totally unaccountable.
- Property valuations are typical mainstream assets. Few people will look at any property valuation without questioning it anymore. This unspeakably big market soaks up capital, real and fictional, generating a lot of financial fiction as “capital”. Hardly encouraging, is it?
Not evolving at all
None of these problems are under serious discussion anywhere on Earth. Capitalism’s daily disasters just keep rolling along. Like a driverless train, the inertia of capital movements simply keeps going in whatever directions it was going.
The obvious future train wreck of capitalism, therefore, is not even a topic. It could be like Russia after the fall of the Soviet Union. Assets worthless; snapped up to pay for food or bills. A true kleptocracy, even worse than the current version, is more than likely.
The fact is that the capitalist dinosaurs are doing fine. They like it this way. Asteroid? What asteroid? You mean that one that will destroy assets like French fries that has to hit some time in the next ten to twenty years? No problem.
This is the mindset that will trash the world in a decade or so. The big stupid system that couldn’t even manage itself will fall over under the weight of its own suicidal imbalances. The current form of capitalism isn’t even good accountancy, let alone an “ideology”.
Saner survival options do exist
The bottom line here is that the pandemic of unaffordability will hit the fan sooner or later, probably sooner. Hardly anyone can manage basic costs even now.
Fundamental capital survival requires:
Services: Share the costs. Public ownership is NOT socialism. It’s common sense. If you share the tab at a restaurant, does that make you a communist? Hardly. Education, housing, and health MUST be accessible and easily affordable. After all, your taxes paid for it in the first place. Why pay for it twice or three times?
Equity: A recent study by the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed that homeowners are seven times more economically productive than non-homeowners. So why is the entire capital system so dedicated to making homeownership impossible?
Taxes: There’s an old chestnut that’s been floating around the world for decades – “Tax loopholes”. There’s no such thing. Either something is taxable or it’s not. Taxes should be fair, but there should be no question of not collecting them.
(Actually, you could abolish taxation entirely with a proper non-tax revenue system. You could have self-funding government. …But that’d involve the ability to understand big words and focus on something for more than 5 minutes in a meeting, wouldn’t it? What a pity.)
Financial security: No-brainer of all no-brainers, and most obvious of all. People don’t care about “capitalism”. They care that they have enough money. They don’t want to be worrying about every cent that accidentally comes their way. Fix that, and you fix a huge source of stress for the world. Universal Basic Income can do that.
People could afford to be people, not just paranoid bill-paying machines. They could have lives, not just cost bases. They could work at things they’re good at, not just “a job” they usually wind up despising.
So… Wanna evolve? Because you know what happens to things that don’t.