http://www.digitaljournal.com/article/283891

Skeptics decry Al Gore's Arctic ice melting predictions

Posted Dec 15, 2009 by Gordon K. Chan
Al Gore faces embarrassment as confusion surrounds the former Vice President's citation suggesting that there is a very high probability that the ice caps will disappear by the summer of 2014.
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world economic forum / flickr
Copenhagen -- Al Gore spoke to audiences at the Copenhagen climate change summit and made reference to Dr. Maslowski's work, a climatologist from the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey.
Specifically, Mr. Gore used the data, suggesting there is a 75 percent chance that the entire ice cap will melt by 2014, to update an U.S. Government Agency forecast that this event would occur in 2030. This information was to further argue that clean drinking water would be in jeopardy, affecting a billion people.
It has been reported that Dr. Maslowski refuted Mr. Gore's claims and made a statement: "it is unclear to me how this figure was arrived at." Further, the scientist went on to say, "I would never try to estimate the likelihood at anything as exact as this."
However, it is fact that in 2007, arctic ice levels have shrunk to record low levels, measuring 1.7 million square miles.