Advantage Announces Second Quarter 2012 Results
Advantage Announces Second Quarter 2012 Results
Canada NewsWire
CALGARY, Aug. 8, 2012
Improved Financial Flexibility Supports Middle Montney Drilling Plans
(TSX: AAV) (NYSE: AAV)
CALGARY, Aug. 8, 2012 /CNW/ - Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. ("Advantage" or
the "Corporation") presents our financial and operating results for the
three and six months ended June 30, 2012. The following press release
summarizes and discusses the unconsolidated financial and operating
highlights for Advantage (excludes Longview Oil Corp).
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Three months ended
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Three months ended
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Six months ended
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Six months ended
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June 30, 2012
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June 30, 2011
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June 30, 2012
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June 30, 2011
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Financial ($000, except as
otherwise indicated)
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$000
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per boe
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$000
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per boe
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$000
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per boe
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$000
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per boe
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Petroleum and natural gas sales
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$
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27,312
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$
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13.60
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$
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61,405
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$
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28.45
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$
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60,737
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$
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14.77
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$
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141,037
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$
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32.14
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Royalties
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(2,029)
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(1.01)
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(7,837)
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(3.63)
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(4,671)
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(1.14)
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(19,263)
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(4.39)
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Realized gain on derivatives
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237
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0.12
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6,200
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2.87
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237
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0.06
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13,056
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2.98
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Operating expense
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(10,362)
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(5.16)
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(14,556)
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(6.74)
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(22,437)
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(5.46)
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(37,043)
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(8.44)
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Operating
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15,158
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7.55
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45,212
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20.95
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33,866
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8.23
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97,787
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22.29
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General and administrative (1)
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(4,876)
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(2.43)
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(4,752)
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(2.20)
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(8,954)
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(2.18)
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(10,933)
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(2.49)
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Finance expense (2)
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(2,935)
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(1.46)
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(3,963)
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(1.84)
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(5,642)
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(1.37)
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(10,134)
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(2.31)
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Miscellaneous income
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47
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0.02
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110
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0.05
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543
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0.13
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135
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0.03
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Funds from operations
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7,394
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$
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3.68
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36,607
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$
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16.96
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19,813
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$
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4.81
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76,855
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$
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17.52
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Dividends from Longview
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3,588
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2,945
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8,005
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2,945
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Total
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$
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10,982
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$
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39,552
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$
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27,818
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$
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79,800
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per share (3)
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$
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0.07
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$
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0.24
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$
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0.17
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$
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0.48
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Expenditures on property, plant and equipment
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$
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7,857
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$
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6,023
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$
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71,184
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$
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83,018
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Working capital deficit (4)
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$
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13,615
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$
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3,104
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$
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13,615
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$
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3,104
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Bank indebtedness
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$
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172,005
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$
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103,447
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$
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172,005
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$
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103,447
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Convertible debentures (face value)
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$
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86,250
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$
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148,544
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$
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86,250
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$
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148,544
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Shares outstanding at end of period (000)
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167,154
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165,145
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167,154
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165,145
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Basic weighted average shares (000)
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167,087
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165,076
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166,814
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164,784
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Operating
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Daily Production
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Natural gas (mcf/d)
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124,041
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129,123
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126,996
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120,184
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Crude oil and NGLs (bbls/d)
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1,394
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2,198
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1,428
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4,213
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Total boe/d @ 6:1
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22,068
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23,719
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22,594
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24,244
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Average prices (including hedging)
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Natural gas ($/mcf)
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$
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1.65
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$
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4.30
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$
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1.83
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$
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4.42
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Crude oil and NGLs ($/bbl)
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$
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70.51
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$
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85.14
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$
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71.95
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$
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76.05
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(1) General and administrative expense excludes non-cash G&A.
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(2) Finance expense excludes non-cash accretion expense.
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(3) Based on basic weighted average shares outstanding.
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(4) Working capital deficit includes trade and other receivables,
prepaid expenses and deposits, trade and other accrued liabilities, and
the other liability
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Stable Production and Low Cost Structure Continues at Glacier
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Funds from operations, excluding dividends received from Longview Oil
Corp ("Longview"), for the second quarter of 2012 was $7.4 million or
$0.04 per share, a significant reduction from the first quarter of 2012
due to a 12% decrease in the average AECO Canadian natural gas prices
to $1.90/mcf during the quarter Advantage's realized natural gas price
was impacted by higher transportation costs during Q2 2012 due to
additional firm service commitments that came into effect through the
quarter at Glacier.
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The tax-free dividend income received from Longview amounted to $3.6
million ($0.02 per share) during Q2 2012 as a result of Advantage's
current 45.2% ownership in the shares of Longview.
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Production for the second quarter of 2012 averaged 22,068 boe/d (94%
natural gas) compared to 23,121 boe/d during the first quarter of 2012.
Glacier production averaged 96 mmcf/d during the quarter. Advantage
experienced lower average quarterly production as a direct result of
numerous facilities outages including a shut-down at our Glacier gas
plant to complete expansion modifications and third-party facility
turnarounds which affected our Nevis coal bed methane natural gas
production of approximately 1,000 boe/d for three weeks and our Lookout
Butte production of 1,000 boe/d in June, 2012. Additionally, production
at our Lookout Butte property will remain shut-in to approximately
October 2012 due to a fire that occurred at the third party facility
while maintenance activities were underway. We are waiting on further
updates from the third-party in regard to progress on their recovery
efforts from the fire.
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Operating costs for the current quarter were $5.16/boe as compared to Q1
2012 of $5.74/boe. Operating costs benefited in Q2 2012 due to third
party process fee equalizations that were received. Glacier operating
costs were approximately $2.00/boe during the second quarter due to
maintenance costs that were undertaken.
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Advantage's royalty rate during the second quarter of 2012 was 7.4% as
compared to 7.9% in the prior quarter. The royalty rate has continued
to decrease due to a higher percentage of production from Glacier and
lower natural gas pricing.
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Capital expenditures for the three months ended June 30, 2012 were $7.9
million primarily related to the completion of our Glacier Phase IV
development program which included expansion of our 100% working
interest Glacier gas plant processing capacity to 140 mmcf/d.
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On May 22, 2012 Advantage sold 8,300,000 Longview common shares owned by
Advantage to a syndicate of underwriters at a price of $9.00 per common
share for gross proceeds of $74.7 million. The net proceeds were
utilized to repay outstanding bank indebtedness. As of June 30, 2012,
bank indebtedness was $172.0 million, leaving an undrawn credit
facility of $128.0 million. In addition, Advantage's 45.2% ownership
in the shares of Longview had an asset value of approximately $154
million. Our undrawn credit facility, ownership of Longview shares and
cash flow provide final flexibility to support our Middle Montney
drilling plans.
Looking Forward - Drilling to Further Evaluate NGL Potential in the
Middle Montney
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Two of our four Middle Montney wells were tied-in and produced during Q2
2012. The wells were further tested for liquid content and confirmed
the estimated liquid yields that were observed during the initial well
testing conducted in Q1 2012. Liquid yields are internally estimated
to range from 25 bbls/mmcf to 50 bbls/mmcf assuming a shallow cut
refrigeration process. Liquid yields could be increased through
construction of a higher cost facility which involves a deep cut
liquids extraction process. We estimate liquid yields could be 57
bbls/mmcf to 90 bbls/mmcf assuming a deep cut liquids extraction
process. The propane, butane and condensate components are estimated
to comprise 46% to 60% of the liquid yield in a deep cut liquids
extraction process (see Advantage press release dated March 15, 2012).
Natural gas production from the Middle Montney wells are demonstrating
a shallow decline indicating that further optimization potential may
exist.
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Additional geological and engineering work has been undertaken to better
characterize the Middle Montney reservoir and rock characteristics in
conjunction with investigating modified completion techniques. This
analysis will be important to the future completions of three
additional Middle Montney horizontal wells which are scheduled to spud
by mid-August 2012. Field activities have been delayed due to
continued wet weather conditions at Glacier.
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Guidance for the 12 months ending June 30, 2013 is estimated as follows:
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Production average
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22,000 boe/d to 23,000 boe/d (95% natural gas)
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Royalty rate
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6% to 8%
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Operating expense
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$5.50/boe to $5.95/boe
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Capital expenditures
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$70 million to $80 million
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Production during H2 2012 is expected to average 21,000 boe/d to 22,000
boe/d with capital expenditures of approximately $40 to $50 million.
Production during Q3 2012 will be impacted due to the continued shut-in
of our Lookout Butte property. As a result of the prevailing low
natural gas pricing environment, we will maintain production from
Glacier at between 90 mmcf/d and 100 mmcf/d through to July 2013
utilizing our inventory of 14 wells that will be completed as required
to offset declines.
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Our 12 month capital program will include 3 additional Middle Montney
evaluation wells and the completion of 14 existing wells (from our
Phase IV drilling program) over this period. Additional Middle Montney
wells may be drilled in H1 2013 depending on results and natural gas
prices.
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We believe that it is prudent to maintain capital spending discipline
and financial flexibility in this current natural gas price
environment. We also believe that the current price of natural gas is
unsustainable for generating sufficient full cycle economic returns in
the vast majority of North American natural gas plays and anticipate an
improvement in the natural gas price environment.
Interim Consolidated Financial Statements and MD&A
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Advantage's unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the
three and six months ended June 30, 2012 together with the notes
thereto, and Management's Discussion and Analysis for the three and six
months ended June 30, 2012 have been prepared in accordance with
International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and posted on our
website at www.advantageog.com and filed under our profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Advisory
The information in this press release contains certain forward-looking
statements, including within the meaning of the United States Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to
future events or our future intentions or performance. All statements
other than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking
statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always,
identified by the use of words such as "seek", "anticipate", "plan",
"continue", "estimate", "demonstrate", "expect", "may", "will",
"project", "predict", "potential", "targeting", "intend", "could",
"might", "should", "believe", "would" and similar expressions and
include, but are not limited to, statements relating to, expected
timing of shut-in of Lookout Butte property; estimated liquid yields;
anticipated effect of construction of a higher cost facility on liquid
yields; estimated increase in liquid yields assuming a deep cut liquid
extraction process; estimated percentage of propane, butane and
condensate components comprising the liquid yield in a deep cut liquids
extraction process; further optimization potential of the Corporation's
Middle Montney wells; anticipated timing of drilling of three
additional Middle Montney horizontal wells; anticipated average
production, royalty rate, operating expenses and capital expenditures
for 2012; anticipated average production and capital expenditures
during the second half of 2012; impact of continued shut-in of the
Lookout Butte property on production; expected production from the
Glacier area; expectations regarding drilling of additional Middle
Montney wells in the first half of 2013; the Corporation's expectations
regarding its ability to protect Advantage's business in the current
industry and economic environment; and industry conditions, including
expectations regarding improvements in the natural gas price
environment. Advantage's actual decisions, activities, results,
performance or achievement could differ materially from those expressed
in, or implied by, such forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no
assurances can be given that any of the events anticipated by the
forward-looking statements will transpire or occur or, if any of them
do, what benefits that Advantage will derive from them.
These statements involve substantial known and unknown risks and
uncertainties, certain of which are beyond Advantage's control,
including, but not limited to: the impact of general economic
conditions; industry conditions; actions by governmental or regulatory
authorities including increasing taxes, changes in investment or other
regulations; changes in tax laws, royalty regimes and incentive
programs relating to the oil and gas industry; Advantage's success at
acquisition, exploitation and development of reserves; unexpected
drilling results, changes in commodity prices, currency exchange rates,
capital expenditures, reserves or reserves estimates and debt service
requirements; the occurrence of unexpected events involved in the
exploration for, and the operation and development of, oil and gas
properties; hazards such as fire, explosion, blowouts, cratering, and
spills, each of which could result in substantial damage to wells,
production facilities, other property and the environment or in
personal injury; changes or fluctuations in production levels;
competition from other producers; credit risk; individual well
productivity; changes in laws and regulations including the adoption of
new environmental laws and regulations and changes in how they are
interpreted and enforced; fluctuations in commodity prices and foreign
exchange and interest rates; stock market volatility and market
valuations; liabilities inherent in oil and natural gas operations;
uncertainties associated with estimating oil and natural gas reserves;
competition for, among other things, capital, acquisitions of reserves,
undeveloped lands and skilled personnel; incorrect assessments of the
value of acquisitions; geological, technical, drilling and processing
problems and other difficulties in producing petroleum reserves;
obtaining required approvals of regulatory authorities and ability to
access sufficient capital from internal and external sources. Many of
these risks and uncertainties and additional risk factors are described
in the Corporation's Annual Information Form which is available at
www.sedar.com and www.advantageog.com. Readers are also referred to
risk factors described in other documents Advantage files with Canadian
securities authorities.
With respect to forward-looking statements contained in this press
release, Advantage has made assumptions regarding, but not limited to:
conditions in general economic and financial markets; effects of
regulation by governmental agencies; current commodity prices and
royalty regimes; future exchange rates; royalty rates; future operating
costs; availability of skilled labor; availability of drilling and
related equipment; timing and amount of capital expenditures; and the
impact of increasing competition; the price of crude oil and natural
gas; that the Corporation will have sufficient cash flow, debt or
equity sources or other financial resources required to fund its
capital and operating expenditures and requirements as needed; that the
Corporation's conduct and results of operations will be consistent with
its expectations; that the Corporation will have the ability to develop
the Corporation's crude oil and natural gas properties in the manner
currently contemplated; current or, where applicable, proposed assumed
industry conditions, laws and regulations will continue in effect or as
anticipated as described herein; and the estimates of the Corporation's
production volumes and the assumptions related thereto (including
commodity prices and development costs) are accurate in all material
respects.
These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this press
release and Advantage disclaims any intent or obligation to update
publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or results or otherwise, other than as
required by applicable securities laws.
Barrels of oil equivalent (boe) may be misleading, particularly if used
in isolation. A boe conversion ratio has been calculated using a
conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel
of oil. A boe conversion ratio of 6 mcf:1 bbls is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip
and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that
the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to
natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of
6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an
indication of value.
The Corporation discloses several financial measures that do not have
any standardized meaning prescribed under IFRS. These financial
measures include funds from operations and cash netbacks. Management
believes that these financial measures are useful supplemental
information to analyze operating performance and provide an indication
of the results generated by the Corporation's principal business
activities. Investors should be cautioned that these measures should
not be construed as an alternative to net income, cash provided by
operating activities or other measures of financial performance as
determined in accordance with IFRS. Advantage's method of calculating
these measures may differ from other companies, and accordingly, they
may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies.
SOURCE: Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd.
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