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Good chance of a tropical storm developing in the Atlantic this week

A tropical wave several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is becoming organized and could develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 2 days.

Photographers took pictures of the sunset before the passage of Tropical Storm Elsa in Havana. — © AFP
Photographers took pictures of the sunset before the passage of Tropical Storm Elsa in Havana. — © AFP

A tropical wave several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is becoming organized and could develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 2 days.

According to the National Hurricane Center, the disturbance has been designated Invest 95-L and has a medium potential of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 2 days.

Invest 95-L is over the far eastern Atlantic as marked by the red “X” on the map. It is moving to the west-northwestward at 15 to 30 miles per hour.

Basically, an invest is simply a designation that is given to an area of interest by the National Hurricane Center for further investigation with a simple naming convention. 

In the Atlantic, these systems and models are tagged as Invest 90L, Invest 91L, all the way up to Invest 99L, and then it starts back at 90L and repeats. Using this naming convention allows for datasets and modeling to be done in an appropriate and meaningful manner.

For the time being, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development and it does have a high potential, a 90 percent chance, of becoming a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm Lee by mid or late week.

Additional strengthening is likely late this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph (24 to 32 kph) over the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic.

Forecast models indicated it could be near the Eastern Caribbean by this weekend. according to CBS News Miami.

It is still too early to tell where it will be headed early next week. Some models forecast it possibly turning north while others keep it moving generally west.

However, interests in the northern Leewards Islands, including the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, should monitor the progress of this forecast closely this week, Weather.com suggests.

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