Riding the Wave of the Next Commodity Supercycle
Within the past several years, commodity prices reached a 50-year low relative to equity valuations (https://ibn.fm/QrRMU). Historically, such lows in the commodity-to-equity ratio have marked the onset of new commodity supercycles--prolonged periods of sustained growth in raw material prices--and we've clearly seen the markets shifting with gold hitting all-time highs throughout much of this year. As global economic conditions evolve, commodities have been re-emerging as an important consideration when reconstructing investment portfolios.
The last major commodity supercycle (1996-2011) was fueled by the industrialization of emerging economies like China, India and Brazil. Today, a combination of inflationary pressures, supply chain disruptions, and the global shift toward renewable energy is creating the conditions for what appears to
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