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NOAA — Possibility of El Niño by winter ‘nearing 50 percent’

The El Niño weather pattern, associated with warmer and wetter weather than usual that may give rise to damaging conditions, could emerge by the 2018-19 Northern Hemisphere winter.

Chance of an El Niño weather pattern returning in 2017 is 50/50

The National Weather Service released its monthly ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) forecast on Thursday, showing that there's increasing odds of El Niño returning in late summer or early fall this year.
 

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