http://www.digitaljournal.com/article/311474

Poll: Ontario Liberal Premier leading PC Leader by one point

Posted Sep 13, 2011 by Andrew Moran
A new poll released Monday shows that Ontario Liberal Premier Dalton McGuinty and Progressive Conservative Leader Tim Hudak are neck and neck among voters. New Democrat Leader Andrea Horwath still sits in third.
Ontario Liberal Premier Dalton McGuinty
Ontario Liberal Premier Dalton McGuinty
Recent polls for this year’s Ontario election have been mixed. One poll showed that Tim Hudak, leader of the Progressive Conservatives, was up by five points. Another survey suggested Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty has a commanding 11-point lead.
A new poll conducted by Ipsos Reid exclusively for CFRB NewsTalk 1010, Global News and the Ottawa Citizen shows a tight race between Hudak and McGuinty. The Liberal Premier sits on top with 38 percent, Hudak trails by one percent with 37 percent and New Democratic Party Leader Andrea Horwath made more gains and sits with 24 percent. Green Party’s Mike Schreiner is polling at just one percent.
There are seven percent of undecided voters – the ever precious voters in any election – and they are currently not leaning towards any provincial party at this time.
When breaking down the poll’s statistics, there is scattered support throughout the province of Ontario.
Polling in the Greater Toronto Area shows that the Liberals are holding a seven-point lead over the Progressive Conservatives. The PCs are not polling well in the 416 area code as they sit in third with 28 percent, three points behind the NDP and 12 percent behind the Grits.
The numbers also suggest that the Tories are losing traction in Southwest (PCs 40 percent; Liberals 34 percent) and Central Ontario (PCs 40 percent; Liberals 35 percent).
However, Ipsos notes that PC voters are the most certain as to who they will vote for on Oct. 6. 51 percent say they are “absolutely certain” compared to 44 percent of Liberal and NDP voters saying they are “absolutely certain.”
The Ipsos telephone poll was conducted between Sept. 7 and Sept. 11 with 800 randomly selected adults. The survey contains a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points.
Ontario Liberal Premier Dalton McGuinty (L) and Progressive Conservative Leader Tim Hudak.
Ontario Liberal Premier Dalton McGuinty (L) and Progressive Conservative Leader Tim Hudak.