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article imagePoll: Republican Cory Gardner leads Sen. Mark Udall by 4 points

By Larry Clifton     Oct 15, 2014 in Politics
Denver - Just 20 days before voters decide which political party will control the U.S. Senate, Republican Cory Gardner leads Colorado’s incumbent Democrat Sen. Mark Udall by four points, according to a new CNN/ORC poll published Wednesday.
Gardner has opened up a 50 to 46 lead in the Colorado Senate race that is key to control of the Senate. Udall, whom hails from a lineage of established Colorado Democrats, held the upper hand in the early stages of his campaign. However, the former five-term congressman currently finds himself in the precarious position of trailing Gardner, who analysts say has momentum.
For his part, Garner, who rode a Republican wave in 2010 that ousted incumbent Democratic Rep. Betsy Markey and helped the GOP take control of the House of Representatives, is attempting a repeat, this time in the Senate.
Democrats hoped that their advantage in certain demographics, including women and urban voters, would be enough to allow Udall to cruise to victory in Colorado. However, Udall’s advantage among women is far smaller than his disadvantage among men.
“Udall is getting clobbered in the all-important suburbs, as well as in rural areas, and his lead in Colorado cities is not enough to overcome that,” CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said.
“There is a gender gap, but in this case it appears to be working in favor of the Republican. Udall has a nine-point advantage among women, but that is dwarfed by the 20-point lead Gardner has among men,” he added.
Udall has another problem according to the poll. His favorability rating is an anemic 45 percent while a whopping 51 percent have an unfavorable opinion of the Democrat. The survey of 665 likely voters was conducted Oct. 9-13. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Conversely, Gardner is viewed favorably by 50 percent of likely voters with just 42 percent saying their opinion of him is unfavorable. There is only one point difference between Gardner’s five-point favorability standing and his four-point lead in the race.
Republican Bob Beauprez, who hopes to unseat sitting Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper, a Democrat, trails his opponent by one percentage point in the poll. Both races are within the margin of error and a statistical tie. The two Colorado Democrats are performing far better than Pres. Barack Obama in the state. The president has an approval rating of 39 percent in Colorado while 59 percent of likely voters say they disapprove of the job he’s doing, according to the poll.
Meanwhile, a Quinnipiac University poll also released Wednesday shows Beauprez leading Hickenlooper 46 percent to 42 percent in the Colorado gubernatorial race. It is the second Quinnipiac poll in a row to show Hickenlooper trailing Beauprez. The last Quinnipiac Poll had Beauprez leading by double digits at 10 points.
“After seeming to waver in our last survey, women and independent voters pull Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper back from the abyss and reinvigorate a race that’s very close,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.
More about Republican Cory Gardner, Sen Mark Udall, colorado senate race, CNNORC poll, Colorado
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