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article imageOp-Ed: Florida's special election could be a predictor of the midterms

By Michael Krebs     Mar 21, 2014 in Politics
Florida's 13th congressional district held a special election last week, and its results may offer a tea-leaf reading on the upcoming midterm elections.
As special elections go, Florida's 13th congressional election delivered an unusual visibility into what may transpire in the 2014 midterm elections, as Politico detailed in a forward-looking analysis.
The loss in Florida was seen not only as a blow to Democrats, but the manner in which the narrative focused on Affordable Care Act by the Republican candidate pushed forward the GOP strategy on tethering congressional candidates to President Barack Obama's signature piece of legislation.
Party control in congress — particularly within the senate — could determine the trajectory of the Affordable Care Act (for more on this topic, please listen to the podcast that in part parallels this post).
Florida's 13th congressional district is considered a swing district — and one that mirrors many congressional and gubernatorial battlegrounds across the country.
In Florida, Republican David Jolly campaigned squarely on an anti-Obamacare platform and defined the election on the terms of the Affordable Care Act's challenges. This special election was effectively the first salvo for a Republican Party eager to win the 6 seats needed to have a majority in the senate. Should this strategy move forward nationally, Democrats will be forced to defend their positions on Obamacare in a climate where President Obama's approval ratings have remained stubbornly in the 40-43 percentage range.
"Florida's 13th district is, in many ways, the archetype of the kind of seat Democrats need to win if they're serious about erasing their 17-seat House deficit anytime soon," Politico reported.
This opinion article was written by an independent writer. The opinions and views expressed herein are those of the author and are not necessarily intended to reflect those of
More about Midterm, Elections, 2014 elections, Congress, US House of Representatives
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