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article imageTropical development possible in Atlantic over Labor Day weekend

By Karen Graham     Aug 29, 2018 in Environment
It seems that the Atlantic hurricane season has awakened from its August nap, not wanting to miss the Labor Day weekend. Forecasters are watching a system in the Caribbean, which could make for a rainy holiday weekend in Florida or the Gulf Coast.
A tropical outlook posted by the National Hurricane Center at 8:00 p.m. EDT, stated: "A vigorous low-pressure area associated with a tropical wave is forecast to form between the coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands on Thursday. Conditions appear to be favorable for subsequent additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the weekend."
"Weather models have flipped the switch on the Atlantic hurricane season and we see multiple areas of development possible, starting mainly this weekend," weather.us meteorologist Ryan Maue said.
The tropical wave, basically an area of low-pressure is being watched closely right now as it moves west-northwest through the Lesser Antilles. "There is also the potential for two or three tropical features spinning over the Atlantic by the second weekend in September," AccuWeather meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said.
Increased activity due to lessening wind shear
Wind shear helps in keeping tropical depressions from forming, and right now, the wind shear appears to be decreasing. "There are signs now that wind shear may drop over a significant part of the Atlantic basin over the next couple of weeks," reports AccuWeather.com.
"In the short term, there is an area just west of the coast of Africa, near Cabo Verde, that bears watching," according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski. Steering winds may direct the Cabo Verde feature toward the middle of the Atlantic over the next week, and this feature has the potential to become a powerful hurricane.
Climatologists are warning that while the season has been quiet for several weeks, people should now begin to pay closer attention to the tropics. In the past, some of the worst storms in the Atlantic occurred during September.
While it is too early to make any definite predictions on where or what kind of system may develop, a factor favoring development is the warm water in the Gulf of Mexico, with sea-surface temperatures above average and with ample heat content. Coupled with less wind shear, this makes for a perfect scenario for a tropical storm.
More about Hurricane, Atlantic hurricane season, Labor day, Florida, tropical wave
 
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