At 2:00 p.m. ET, the National Hurricane Center gave an update on Hurricane Humberto – still active and moving around close to Bermuda. Humberto is now 140 miles (225 kilometers) west of Bermuda, packing winds of 120 mph (195 kph) with higher gusts. The Hurricane is now moving to the ENE at 16 mph (26 kph) with a minimum central pressure of 952 MB…28.12 inches.
Hurricane conditions are expected to reach Bermuda by this evening, bringing rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with
maximum amounts of 6 inches expected. Hurricane-force winds extending outward up to 105 miles (165 kilometers) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to 195 miles (315 kilometers) can be expected.
Large swells generated by the hurricane will increase along the coast of Bermuda today, along with a storm surge of from 1 to 3 feet. Dangerous breaking waves, especially along south-facing beaches, will be possible Wednesday night into Thursday and could cause coastal flooding.
Tropical Storm Jerry
Tropical Storm Jerry is still far from land but is gaining in strength and forward speed. At 11:00 a.m. ET, Jerry was 855 miles (1,372 kilometers) east of the Leeward Islands. Jerry has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph (85 kph) and is presently moving to the WNW at 14 mph (22 kph). Jerry’s minimum central pressure is 1002 MB – 29.59 inches.
The storm’s speed is expected to increase over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system will be near the northern Leeward Islands Friday and pass north of Puerto Rico on Saturday. By this time, Jerry is forecast to be a hurricane.
Tropical Depression Imelda
Imelda is now a tropical depression, dumping 6 to 10 inches of rain on west Texas, but the storm still has some energy left. Some of the storm’s rain bands could reach east across the Atchafalaya Basin into Louisiana, bringing gusty winds and heavy rainfall, forecasters said.
Ken Graham, director of the National Hurricane Center, said the Houston area and parts of the upper Texas coast and East Texas could get significant rainfall through Thursday as the storm moves north.
Jeff Lindner, a meteorologist, and director of flood operations for the Harris County Flood Control District in Houston said, “While there could be some isolated structure flooding in the Houston area, widespread house flooding from Imelda doesn’t look likely at this point.”
two Tropical wave formations
The following two tropical waves will bear watching, just to see if there is any further development. The first one is several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers.
Some development of this system is possible while the system approaches the Windward Islands this weekend or when it moves across the southeastern Caribbean Sea early next week. Chances of further development are LOW to 30 percent within five days.
System Number 2 is a tropical wave with a rather large and disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms near and to the south-southeast of the Dominican Republic. Locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti during the next couple of days.
The disturbance is forecast to move slowly northwestward through the weekend, with a very low probability of further formation at this time.;