Average Console Projections indicate 13 Million Wiis, 17 Million 360s and 9 Million PS3s by 2007
Average projections are showing that there is very much a shift in the market, and Sony's outlook doesn't look to good for 2007. Wii and 360 average projections show that they will be able to carry a stable sales rate through 2007. The market leader of the past 2 generation has been Sony prior to that it had been Nintendo. The Wii was no doubt a smash success at launch. The media has been all over the Wii, and just the other day Dr. Phil gave a Wii to everyone in the audience. Nintendo sure has reached out of the typically gamer spectrum.
There have been many projections by analysts and I have averaged the projections to get these numbers. These are just rough guesses, but analysts typically are not toi far of with their projections.
Average projections show that Nintendo should sell about 13 Million in a year’s time. This would beat how many Xbox 360s were sold within a year (about 8 Million). It however will not beat the projected XBOX 360 sales which are set to be at 17 Million in Q4 2007. This is to be expected though because Halo 3 may make its launch in 2007. Nintendo also has a couple of franchises to be released in 2007, most notably Metroid Prime, Super Mario Galaxy, Super Smash Bros and Project H.A.M.M.E.R.
The news is unfortunately not as good for Sony, at least in 2007. It appears that most analyst expect PS3 sales to do horribly during 2007 with the average projections at about 7.5 Million. But analysts seem to think that PS3 sales will reach higher sales in 2008 and 2009. This could be due to adoption of HD by most Americans by the year 2009. One analyst seems to even suggest that PS3 will beat XBOX 360 by a whopping 60 Million. But this analyst also suggested that Wii sales will only total 23.3 Million in total. This seems very different that what others expect. But some reports show that PS3 will flop, so really there is no telling.
Most reports indicate that the sales of these consoles will be very different than the last generation where PS2 dominated. The final result seems that all sales will not vary as much as the last generation and that each company should have sold at least 30 Million consoles at the end.
Keep in mind that these are measured by patterns, launch and other aspects. These should not be taken too seriously, but just for a ball park figure of what to expect next year. And if you don't already know, the attach rate of games per console is supposed to be much less this time around.
UPDATE 1: These projection figures include the number of console sold before 2007 as well. This is the reason why Xbox 360 is far ahead of the others.
UPDATE 2: Fixed Grammer
