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article imageIs Gallup again producing 'outlier' numbers to favor Mitt Romney?

By Marcus Hondro     Oct 31, 2012 in Politics
Whether the pollster Gallup is again producing numbers that wrongly favor the GOP presidential candidate won't be known until votes are counted. But they show Mitt Romney with a big national lead and a lead in early voting when other polls differ widely.
In the recent past, Gallup has produced 'outlier' numbers, polling numbers well outside of the aggregate of other pollsters. In the election cycle of 2008 their polls often gave GOP candidate John McCain more poll points, and for a period by large numbers, but in the end turned out wrong by wide margins and wound up rated 17th out of 23 pollsters in the 2008 election cycle for accuracy. They have performed poorly in other recent elections, each time favoring Republican candidates.
The same thing now seems to be the case with Mitt Romney. They had him up by 5 and then 7 points nationally at a time when other polls had his lead anywhere from 1 to 3 points, with at least one having Obama ahead by one. Nationally, most polls now have Obama up slightly or a statistical tie; pollster Gallup, however, has Romney up by six.
Other potentially skewered numbers are their Oct. 30 numbers that give Romney a lead of 52 percent to 47 percent among those who have voted early already. Other polls have shown Obama to have an early voting lead.
More about gallup polling, Mitt Romney, Obama
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