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article imageRomney's 52-point debate victory is the biggest in Gallup history

By JohnThomas Didymus     Oct 9, 2012 in Politics
The full extent of Romney's defeat of Obama in the Denver presidential debate is revealed in the latest Gallup poll results which show that 72 percent of Americans who watched the debate said Romney won while only 20 percent said Obama won.
According to Gallup, Mitt Romney won the last presidential debate by a 52-point margin, the biggest margin since Gallup began tracking US presidential debates 20 years ago.
The latest Gallup debate poll comes after a Pew Research Center national poll scored Romney four-points ahead of President Barack Obama, 49 to 45 points among likely voters, compared to September poll that showed Obama leading 51 to 42 points. However, the two candidates were even among registered voters, 46-46.
The latest Gallup numbers show that registered voters overwhelmingly considered Romney the winner in the Denver debate. According to the Gallup debate poll conducted on Thursday and Friday, of Americans who watched the presidential debate, 72 percent said Romney won the debate while only 20 percent said Obama won, giving Romney a whopping 52-point lead over Obama. Even among Democrats, 49 percent said Romney won the debate and only 39 per cent said Obama won.
Registered voters overwhelmingly think Romney won the debate
Registered voters overwhelmingly think Romney won the debate
The largest margin previously ever recorded in Gallup history was a 42-point lead over President George H.W. Bush in the 1992 town hall debate in which Clinton won the hearts of Americans and Bush committed the faux pax of looking at his watch.
Romney's present position is in sharp contrast to results of Gallup poll taken after the Republican National Convention. Gallup found that Romney's speech at the RNC was the least favored by voters since Bob Dole's in 1996. According to the poll, about 37 percent of respondents said Romney's RNC speech was "OK," "poor," or "terrible."
According to Gallup, registered voters' preference remained evenly split, 47-47, between the two candidates in the first threes days after the presidential debate (post-debate: October 4-6). In the three days prior (Sept 30-Oct 2), Barack Obama had a five-percentage-point advantage, 50-45.
Registered voters preference evenly split in three days after debate
Registered voters preference evenly split in three days after debate
Gallup typically reports voter presidential preference in seven-day rolling averages. The average as of Saturday (Sept 30-Oct.6) shows Obama with an average three-point edge over Romney at 49-46 among registered voters.
Registered voters preference gap narrowing
Registered voters preference gap narrowing
However, Gallup says that should Mitt Romney's momentum continue in the coming days, the gap in the seven-day rolling average would narrow further.
Pew Research Center debate survey returned a 46 per cent margin of debate victory for Romney, with 66 percent of voters saying Romney won the debate compared to 20 percent who said Obama won.
The Pew Research Center survey that shows Romney surging from an 8-point deficit to a 4-point lead among likely voters (49-45), is the most dramatic shift in the entire period of the general election campaign, with Romney now even with Obama at 46-46 cent among registered voters.
CBS News points out that the difference between "likely voters" and "registered voters" shows how important turnout will be at the general elections.
The Pew survey also found that Romney made big gains among women, whites and people younger than 50. Romney, for the first time, drew level with Obama among women, wiping out Obama's longstanding advantage.
Pew results also showed that Romney's favorability rating has improved dramatically, hitting 50 percent of registered voters for the first time in Pew survey.
Meanwhile, Obama's favorability has dropped six points to 49 percent.
Fox News reports the Pew survey followed a national Rasmussen survey that showed Romney leading 49-47 percent. The Rasmussen survey also showed Romney pulling even with Obama in several swing states after the debate.
The latest Rasmussen survey shows both Obama and Romney even at 48-48
More about Election 2012, Romney, Gallup, Presidential debate
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