: Several issues demonstrate the world’s devolution into warfare. First, unable to reach a compromise, South Africa is now in an all-out labor strike, with the police again firing rubber bullets at miners with lethal escalation guaranteed. Second, back from vacation, the once again penniless citizens of Spain, Greece, and Portugal have resumed protesting austerity. Third, US embassies are attacked, in many cases with numerous casualties, in Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Morocco, Sudan, Lebanon, India, Balgadesh, Indonesia, and others. Fourth, Japan taking China-contested islands and provoking a firestorm of retaliation including demands for “war with Japan,” while, the Japanese ambassador to China died mysteriously. Fifth, Netanyahu telling Meet the Press Iran will have a nuke in six to seven months and Iran must be stopped before it is too late. Sixth, warships from more than 25 countries, including the United States, Britain, France, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are all launching a military exercise in the Straits of Hormuz. Seventh, A third US aircraft, the CVN-74 Stennis, carrier is en route to Iran with an ETA of about 10 days. And finally, a potential catalyst to light this whole mess on fire, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard announcing that its troops are now on the ground in Syria.
From The Vancouver Sun
: Tehran has deployed one of its Russian-made submarines in the Persian Gulf, just days after the United States and more than two dozen allies began naval exercises nearby, according to Iranian state television. The Taregh-1 joined the Iranian fleet in the southern port of Bandar Abbas after it was overhauled earlier this year, according to the TV report.
From The News
: The head of Iran’s powerful Revolutionary Guards warned about retaliation against the Gulf’s strategic Strait of Hormuz, US bases in the Mideast, and Israel if his country is attacked. According to many analysts, Iran will attack the US and Israel when the war begins. The center of gravity will be the Strait of Hormuz. Iran will attempt to close this area to bring the global economy to its knees. The world economy will collapse rapidly if Iran is successful. Iran may have been supplied with Russian SUNBURN anti-ship cruise missiles. These missiles can sink any aircraft carrier. The US Navy has no defense against these missiles. Russia probably supplied Iran with these missiles to inflict severe damage on the US Navy when the war begins.
Tehran has an unknown number of advanced Russian designed SS-N-22 SUNBURN missiles. When the Iranian Defense Minister Ali Shamkhani visited Moscow in late 2001 he requested a SUNBURN missile test firing, which the Russians arranged. Ali Shamkhani was so impressed with this advanced weapon system that he placed an order for an undisclosed number of the SUNBURN missiles. The SUNBURN can deliver a 200-kiloton nuclear payload (a 750-pound conventional warhead) within a range of 161.0000 km, more than twice the EXOCET missile’s range. The SUNBURN combines a Mach 2.1 speed with a flight pattern that hugs the deck and includes "violent end maneuvers" to elude enemy defenses. The SUNBURN missile was specifically designed to defeat the US Aegis radar defense system. Should a US Navy Phalanx point defense somehow manage to detect an incoming SUNBURN missile, the system has only seconds to calculate a fire solution, which is not enough time to take out the intruding missile. While the US Phalanx defense employs a six-barreled gun that fires 3,000 depleted-uranium rounds a minute, the gun must have precise coordinates to destroy any attacking intruder.
The SUNBURN's combined supersonic speed and payload size produce tremendous kinetic energy on impact, with devastating consequences for ship and crew. A single one of these missiles can sink a large warship, but costs considerably less than a fighter jet. Although the Navy has been phasing out the older Phalanx defense system, its replacement, known as the Rolling Action Missile (RAM) has never been tested against the weapon it seems destined to one day face in combat. The US Navy's only plausible defense against a robust weapon like the SUNBURN missile is to detect the enemy's approach well ahead of time, with its destroyers, submarines, or fighter-bombers, and defeat them long before they can get in range and launch their deadly cargo.
Former U.S. ambassador to Israel Martin Indyk recently stated that he thinks the U.S. will go to war with Iran over its nuclear program in 2013. Speaking during a panel on the CBS program Face the Nation, Indyk said, ‘I'm afraid that 2013 is going to be a year where we're going to have a military confrontation with Iran.’ The former ambassador stated that ‘Iran doesn't have a nuclear weapon,’ but added that there's not a lot of time left until it does. Regarding the recent friction between U.S. President Barack Obama and Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over ‘red lines’ on Iran, Indyk doesn't think ‘the difference between Netanyahu and Obama on this is that great, in terms of the president's commitment not to allow Iran to acquire nuclear weapons.’ He added, however, that Netanyahu's insistence on public ‘red lines’ was unreasonable.
A US war against Iran comes at the wrong time in American history. The US economy is collapsing, while food prices increase. Obama is turning against Israel, which has been America’s only real friend in the Mideast. While America will survive this war, it will emerge damaged from this Mideast conflict. This war could begin the end of America’s supremacy as a superpower nation and facilitate the rise of China as the new superpower in Asia.
While the likely war involving America and Israel against Iran is very close, what has sprung up is a possible war between China and Japan. The coming war between China and Japan is very real, according to some defense analysts. The Chinese are the dominant power in Asia because its naval warships and technological capabilities have qualitatively and quantitatively evolved tremendously within the past 12 years. China wants to rule Asia, which explains why it has been building up its military.
China will move against Japan’s control of these disputed islands to test the resolve of America’s weak leadership. Defense analysts assess that it will be just a matter of time before China moves. The timing of China’s move against Japan will be bad for America. Japan is no military match for China, and it depends upon America for protection. Japan is America’s best friend in that region. China’s leadership assess that President Obama will not go to war against China to protect Japan because China knows how politically weak Obama and Clinton are in America. According to some analysts, if China goes to war against Japan, Obama and Clinton will force Japan to surrender the islands. When this happens, China’s leadership will know that nothing can stop them in Asia because America will be too weak to fight both Iran and China. This will be a sign to North Korea that America will not support South Korea during any future attack because Obama and Clinton are not fighters. They are liberal extremists who fail to understand that peace can only be maintained from a position of strength along with the willingness to fight for it.
Finally, because China knows that war is coming to the Mideast, it will make its move during this conflict. America is simply too weak to combat the Chinese navy in Asia, while conducting military strikes on Iran. A few analysts believe this war will end America’s reign as an Asian naval power, while facilitating China’s emergence as the supreme naval power in Asia. This is not good for Pacific countries as Japan, South Korea, and Australia.