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article imagePoll: Ron Paul vs. Barack Obama election would be tight race

By Andrew Moran     Jan 31, 2012 in Politics
Lake Jackson - Who says Texas Republican Congressman Ron Paul is unelectable? In a hypothetical matchup, a new survey suggests that the libertarian-leaning representative is in a statistical tie with President Barack Obama.
The latest polls show that three-time presidential candidate Ron Paul will not win the state of Florida. Although Dr. Paul is hardly campaigning in the state, he is generally polling in double digits and is fighting for the third spot with former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum.
A new article from the Christian Science Monitor pondered the likelihood that Paul could garner more delegates than former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Santorum this week because he has focused his campaign in Maine and Nevada, which have their caucuses on Saturday.
A poll released Monday may give him momentum ahead of the caucuses in February.
According to the latest USA Today/Gallup poll, in a hypothetical matchup between the Texas congressman and President Barack Obama, it would be too close to call. In the general election among national registered voters, Paul would garner 46 percent of the vote, while the incumbent president would have 49 percent.
President Barack Obama
President Barack Obama listens during his meeting with the President's Intelligence Advisory Board in the Cabinet Room of the White House
White House Photo by Pete Souza
However, the gap widens when the poll reflects swing-state registered voters in which the president gains 50 percent of the vote compared to Paul’s 43 percent.
The bestselling author of “End the Fed” and “The Revolution: A Manifesto” does better than the former Speaker of the House and the former Pennsylvania Senator. Obama holds a 12-point lead nationally against Gingrich and an eight-point margin over Santorum.
Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is the only other candidate to fare well against President Obama. When polling national registered voters, it is a virtual tie with each candidate having 48 percent. Romney does gain a slight edge among swing-state voters by one point.
“We’ve been saying this has been a two-man race between Ron Paul and Mitt Romney, and this poll is further proof,” said Jesse Benton, Ron Paul 2012 National Campaign Chairman, in a press release. “The survey also demonstrates Ron Paul’s competitive edge against the sitting President in a general election since Paul is the candidate capable of gaining support from independents and disenfranchised Democrats.”
This isn’t the only poll that shows Paul doing well against the president. Real Clear Politics averages a five-point margin in favor of Obama against the congressman.
The USA Today/Gallup telephone survey was conducted on Jan. 27 and Jan. 28 with 907 registered voters. The poll contains a margin of error of +/- four percentage points.
The next time we see the remaining candidates on television will be on Feb. 22 for the CNN debate sponsored by CNN and the Republican Party of Arizona. Following that, there will be three final debates.
This week, Paul gained the endorsement of Linda Lorraine Bean, the heiress of the L.L. Bean empire. “I’ve been for Ron Paul for years,” said Bean in a media release. “I watched his House races in Texas, and he’s just true blue. He doesn’t waver from the Constitution and I like that very much.”
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