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article imageNew polls predict GOP tidal wave, show broad discontent

By Michael Krebs     Oct 28, 2010 in Politics
New polls released by Gallup and by Rasmussen Reports project sweeping Republican victories and widespread unhappiness with incumbent candidates.
The U.S. mid-term elections increasingly appear to be a referendum on the bitter mood of the broader American voting public. This widespread unhappiness is reflected in two recent independent polls.
While Republican campaign strategists have been talking about the prospect of a surge or a "wave" in GOP congressional seats for months, the latest poll from Gallup projects that this year's wave may indeed be a tsunami.
According to Gallup, 55 percent of likely voters surveyed are either expected to choose a Republican candidate or are leaning Republican. This is the highest composition of Republican-oriented sentiment against pre-election surveys from 2006, 2002, 1998, and 1994. It is quite notable to compare 2010 (55 percent) sentiment with that of 1994 (49 percent), as the 1994 congressional election was considered a substantial victory for Republicans - leading to the implementation of the Contract With America.
Republicans are expected to take back the House, and they need 10 seats to secure a Senate majority.
Gallup also noted a shift among Independent voters toward Republican candidates. The projected loss of Independents does not bode well for congressional Democrats.
But the anti-establishment mood in America is not tethered to a single Party. According to a separate poll from Rasmussen Reports, 65 percent of Americans support the removal of all congress members and starting over again. Only 20 percent of likely voters polled would choose to keep the current congress intact.
This dissatisfaction will be played out in mid-term elections nationwide on November 2, less than a week away.
More about Gallup, Rasmussen, Polls, Election, Republican
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