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article imagePoll: Toronto mayoral candidate Rob Ford maintains 6-point lead

By Andrew Moran     Oct 15, 2010 in Politics
Toronto - A new poll suggests that Toronto mayoral candidate Rob Ford is holding a steady lead over rival George Smitherman. The telephone survey shows Ford maintaining a 6-point lead, but Smitherman has made significant strides in the Greater Toronto Area.
Toronto voters will elect the new mayor of the city in 10 days and the latest polls show that it is a very tight race between Rob Ford and George Smitherman. The next week will be crucial for both candidates.
General outlook
According to a new survey from Forum Research, Ford has 44 percent of the vote compared to Smitherman’s 38 percent and Joe Pantalone increased his support from 11 percent to 16 percent. A significant statistic, though, is the number of undecided voters: 16 percent.
Even though Ford holds a 6-point lead out of the three candidates, when Pantalone is taken out of the equation, the frontrunner’s lead shrinks to only one percent. Also, the number of undecided voters increases to 18 percent.
Toronto mayoral candidate George Smitherman.
Toronto mayoral candidate George Smitherman.
The specifics
When breaking down the key demographics, Ford is holding strong in Scarborough with 53 percent of the vote versus Smitherman’s 30 percent. However, Smitherman has increased his support in both North York (42 percent) and Etobicoke-York (39 percent). The race is tight in Toronto East York but Smitherman has a slight edge over Ford by 1 percentage point.
The poll shows that older Toronto voters tend to lean towards Ford: 18-34; 41 percent, 35-49; 43 percent and 50+; 49 percent. Toronto male voters also tend to support Ford (50 percent) compared to the female voting population (39 percent).
The telephone survey was conducted among 700 randomly selected Toronto respondents on Oct. 14. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points.
More about Rob Ford, Poll, Toronto election
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