AP Poll Gives Obama 7-Point Lead

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The numbers are now 48-41 to Sen. Obama, who has surged to the front after a series of neck-to-neck polls. Just three weeks ago, the same poll conducted by AP and Gfk saw Sen. McCain leading slightly.

Some Republicans point to his struggle to deal with the economy in a cogent manner, as well as Sarah Palin's faltering support, as reasons for his falling behind. The first Presidential debate also didn't boost his ratings.

They are hoping that Sarah Palin, who has been rated poorly so far in her interviews, would be able to handle the seasoned Sen. Joe Biden at Thursday's veep debate. Other than that, McCain's Presidency is probably dependent on the chances of Obama making a mistake.

Palin's support has plummeted over the weeks. Last month, 41 percent of likely voters felt she was ready to be President. Now, only 25 percent hold that view and less than half feel that she's experienced enough.

Still, there are some positive Republicans who believe Obama's failure to attain a double-digit lead under an unpopular Bush administration is a good sign for them.

Obama supporters are treating their favorable numbers with cautious optimism. "We've already learned in the last several weeks that we can be whipsawed back very, very quickly," said David Redlawsk who is a delegate.

Those polled also indicated that the weak economy is a bigger issue than security. 60 percent felt that it was more vital to have a President who makes good economic choices than security choices.

This is an advantage to Obama, who has a 63 percent confidence rating among economic voters. McCain on the other hand, fares better on security issues, with 73 percent support among security voters.

1,160 adults, including 808 likely voters, were polled nationwide.