article imageLittle Ice Age On The Way?

By Gar Swaffar.
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Published Aug 19, 2008 by  Gar Swaffar - 32 votes, 73 comments
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A researcher at the Institute of Geophysics has made the incredible assertion of an Ice Age not Global Warming as the next planetary weather event,
Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera is a geophysics researcher at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM)
At a recent conference Herrera argued the breakup of the the Argentine Perito Moreno in Argentina was not due to global warming, but rather
"The event was due, he said, to a natural process caused by temperature and precipitation of the river."
Herrera has been mildly scornful of the methods used to predict global warming due to the computer models which don't include solar activity as part of the data parameters. Solar activity is often thought to be a major factor in the formation of specific weather patterns on earth.
The models and forecasts of the IPCC "is incorrect because only are based on mathematical models and presented results at scenarios that do not include, for example, solar activity," said the specialist also in image processing and signs and prevention of natural disasters.
The phenomenon of climate change, he added, should include other kinds of factors, both internal, such as volcanoes and the very human activity, and external, such as solar activity.
Herrera has indicted the most immediate result of the upcoming "little Ice Age" will be a global issue of drought, as even more of the planets fresh water is captured in frozen form.
At present it is suggested the third largest reserve of the available fresh water on the planet is contained in the Southern Patagonian Ice Field
The Perito Moreno, approximately 200 square kilometres, is in the Andes, between Argentina and Chile, and is one of the few stable glaciers in the world. Herrera has made the case of more glaciers which are growing as in New Zealand and the Andes while including Logan, the highest mountain in Canada.
The results of Herrera's statements are likely to raise the hackles of global warming advocates across the globe, but should also be understood to be part of the discussion regarding a system which is so complex.
For myself, the statement of the non-inclusion of solar data in the computer models used by the IPCC to predict global warming is stunning. As an admitted layman in relation to planetary climatology, including data from the local star would seem to be at the very least an absolute necessity.
article:258762:32::0
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