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article imageOp-Ed: Go Tell It On the Bloomberg- America on the rocks

Posted Mar 7, 2008 by  Paul Wallis (Wanderlaugh) in Business | 13 comments | 468 views
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Credit where it’s due, pun intended. One major leaguer isn’t peddling recession euphemisms. Bloomberg have put together a real picture of the credit crunch. The Easter Bunny isn’t doing the editing, unlike the rest of the chicken waste recycling.
Maybe there’s a good reason for this “possible recession” jingle, but it’s not obvious. The sedation level on the finance news is now becoming ridiculous. The US public is getting fairy tales, told by things you’d bury if you found them at the bottom of your garden.

“Insipid” is a barely adequate description of the coverage. Not everybody’s an economist, but blatant bull is blatant bull, and these guys are supposed to know that. Bloomberg apparently aren’t inclined to book a berth on the “Everything’s Wonderful, Soft Landing” Titanic just yet.

This is an example from Bloomberg of some actual financial reporting. It’s not good news, but at least it tells a real story:

“Consumer credit increased by $6.9 billion to $2.52 trillion, the Fed said today in Washington. In December, credit gained $3.7 billion, less than a previously reported increase of $4.5 billion. The figures don't include borrowing secured by real estate, such as home-equity loans.

People once dependent on home-equity financing are turning to other forms of short-term financing after the collapse in subprime mortgages made it harder to qualify for loans. Personal income in January rose at a slower pace than inflation, and credit card usage in January rose for a second straight month.

"There's not much gas left in the tank,'' said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York. "In the early stage of a recession, consumers tend to rely on credit cards to see them through the hard times.''”


Bit different, isn’t it? No “possible recession” claptrap. These are top of the line information sources getting a word in.

That situation described in the article is one of the symptoms people have been looking for. The added demand on credit is a real indicator, not some vague reference to “market sentiment”.

Nor is there any political agenda being served. This is hard data, it’s clean, and it has some relevance. No spin, no ideological diarrhea.

I have no idea how, let alone why, the American public can tolerate the amount of pure drivel being produced by major media on the economy.

Same article:

It was the second-biggest January increase in revolving credit in the past decade, a period in which that category of borrowing averaged $3.2 billion for the first month of the year. Revolving debt is the kind that's capped at a designated amount and on which periodic payments are made.

Earlier today, the Labor Department said the U.S. lost jobs in February for the second consecutive month, adding to evidence the economy is already in a recession. Payrolls fell by 63,000, the most in five years, after a revised decline of 22,000 in January.

The central bank's Federal Open Market Committee is scheduled to meet to discuss interest-rate policy March 18, and economists anticipate the central bank will again lower its benchmark lending rate.


Synopsis: the credit and labor markets are getting hit, hard, and the Fed has a teaspoon to stir the economic pot.

Interest rates are the standard methodology of an ideas-starved economic paradigm. Since monetarism raised its micro-brained head, interest rates, like leeches in the Dark Ages, have been the answer and cause of everything.

The result of this mentality is the dog’s brunch of crashing edifices we are now seeing.

I pause here for an expression of opinion of monetarism:

“Post-fecal utterances from the dead.”

The whole concept is 30 years out of date, pre-globalization. No museum would touch it.

Bloomberg also did an in depth piece on the jobs situation:

The weakening labor market, combined with lower home prices, higher fuel bills and a global credit squeeze, may force consumers to further reduce spending. Minutes before the figures were released, the Federal Reserve said it will expand two short- term auctions this month to $100 billion in an effort to address a deepening credit crisis. Traders anticipate the central bank will also cut interest rates again.

(See also cgull’s piece on DJ about the job losses for the breakdown.)

Translation: Grandfather can’t hang himself in the barn, because they foreclosed, but he’s working on it.

There’s also a good "cultural contrast" piece about pay for the geniuses who’ve been presiding over the economic slapstick:

“"There seem to be two different economic realities operating in our country,'' said Henry Waxman, a California Democrat and chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee. ``Most Americans live in a world where economic security is precarious. But our nation's top executives seem to live by a separate set of rules.''”

If you never want to have to think about eating again, read that one. Again, no euphemisms. Thank you, Rep. Waxman, for the epigram. Let’s hope it’s not as much of a eulogy as it looks.

This is the standard of reporting that should be hitting the Presidential elections. Not “robes”, “delegate follies” or Rent A Hack.
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  • avatar Posted Mar 7, 2008 by  pajamadeen
    #1
    I read the other day that many cash-strapped Americans are now resorting to charging groceries, etc. to their credit cards. The ostrich approach, which will come back to bite them in the behind, to use a couple of mixed metaphors.
  • avatar Posted Mar 7, 2008 by  pajamadeen
    #2
    Excellent story, btw.
  • avatar Posted Mar 7, 2008 by  Paul Wallis (Wanderlaugh)
    #3
    @ pajamadeen
    I read the other day that many cash-strapped Americans are now resorting to charging groceries, etc. to their credit cards. The ostrich approach, which will come back to bite them in the behind, to use a couple of mixed metaphors.


    "Economic rationalism" was a pretty mixed metaphor to start with. A self attacking ostrich would be a fountain of realism, compared to this.
  • avatar Posted Mar 7, 2008 by  pajamadeen
    #4
    Also, while I'm at it, no one here seems to actually understand that China owns the U.S. - all they have to do is dump their USD on the global marketplace and the dollar will drop like a rock. The concept of the future use and price of gasoline seems also not to have made a very deep inroad (yet) into the national psyche. I'm afraid this country is in for many rude surprises.
  • avatar Posted Mar 7, 2008 by  Paul Wallis (Wanderlaugh)
    #5
    @ pajamadeen
    Also, while I'm at it, no one here seems to actually understand that China owns the U.S. - all they have to do is dump their USD on the global marketplace and the dollar will drop like a rock. The concept of the future use and price of gasoline seems also not to have made a very deep inroad (yet) into the national psyche. I'm afraid this country is in for many rude surprises.


    The only thing stopping the Chinese is that they'd get burned in the process, on a trillion dollar level. It's the insularity that's doing the damage. Economically, America has been traveling first class for so long that they've forgotten what tourist class is like.
  • avatar Posted Mar 7, 2008 by  pajamadeen
    #6
    That's a good point, about the Chinese getting burned if they tried to dump the USD. Yes, Americans think they are _entitled_ to travel first class. Why, I do not know.

    I don't think they realize that many countries (Norway, Canada and Australia spring to mind as examples) have much higher qualities of living than do the States. But it is heresy for me to type this. ;-) I expect the neo-con hall monitors will appear at any moment. In the meantime, I'm really enjoying our chat.
  • avatar Posted Mar 8, 2008 by  Paul Wallis (Wanderlaugh)
    #7
    @ pajamadeen
    That's a good point, about the Chinese getting burned if they tried to dump the USD. Yes, Americans think they are _entitled_ to travel first class. Why, I do not know.

    I don't think they realize that many countries (Norway, Canada and Australia spring to mind as examples) have much higher qualities of living than do the States. But it is heresy for me to type this. ;-) I expect the neo-con hall monitors will appear at any moment. In the meantime, I'm really enjoying our chat.


    Sorry about delay in response, found a gig in New York, the freelance instincts got busy.

    Yeah, I'm actually very surprised that the heresy is such a revelation. Might be that the cultural horizon has remained static. It's scary, because I seem to be watching endless streams of American experts, all very well informed, and all being ritually ignored.
  • avatar Posted Mar 8, 2008 by  pajamadeen
    #8
    Hope you got the NY gig; I freelance a lot myself. It's one of the main reasons why I go silent on here sometimes.
  • avatar Posted Mar 8, 2008 by  Paul Wallis (Wanderlaugh)
    #9
    @ pajamadeen
    Hope you got the NY gig; I freelance a lot myself. It's one of the main reasons why I go silent on here sometimes.


    I just send them the profile. Saves a lot of "personality" issues.
  • avatar Posted Mar 8, 2008 by  Pamela Jean (GotTheScoop)
    #10
    I watch the Bloomberg TV network all day when I am at the computer. Unfortunately most cable carriers don't have it. (I am with Direct TV) - they are the ONLY network that is bringing any real news regarding the economy to the table.

    Our local news in MN glosses over stuff quickly, mentioning the job losses and credit card balance increases and defaults inbetween stories about polar bears and hockey games like it is no big deal.

    I am really becoming alarmed at the increase in food! I go to the grocery store and buy the mere basics and it is $50.00. I used to buy organic, but I can't afford that anymore.
    I don't know what is going to happen, but I do know that we are now such a "global" economy that when our ship sinks, we will bring the rest of the world down with us.

    Scary stuff to be certain.
  • avatar Posted Mar 8, 2008 by  pajamadeen
    #11
    I wish we could get Bloomberg News here on TV, but we can't. There is little here on the area TV channels about the economy either. I could live with more hockey stories, though. hahaha

    Your grocery store example is a good one. I'm vegetarian and we've noticed the same thing - edamame beans at $3.98 for one package, soy milk at almost $4.00 a gallon, etc. We grow our own vegetables and herbs, so that helps. But the prices at the stores are substantially higher this winter.

    I'm a big fan of buying day-old bread at discount stores, where sometimes the loaves of whole wheat bread are 50 cents each. Maybe it's time to buy a bread machine and re-teach myself how to make bread. I can't really justify the prices for the soy milk and am thinking of going back to powdered milk, which I fortunately really like the taste of (although I realize that is weird and most people hate the way it tastes).
  • avatar Posted Mar 8, 2008 by  Pamela Jean (GotTheScoop)
    #12
    I love soy milk! That is one thing I haven't given up.
    I can't even drink regular milk anymore. But, the price has really skyrocketed. I was talking to my mom the other day saying how I couldn't believe that eggs are now $2.39 a dozen - I remember maybe 2 years ago they were .88 cents! Fresh broccoli is now $1.88 a bunch - used to be .96 cents.

    There is really not much of anything under $3.00 anymore. A jar of orange marmalade is freakin' 2.79. Insane!
  • avatar Posted Mar 9, 2008 by  Navin Vaswani
    #13
    good post!

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