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article imageInsurgencies seldom archive victory

By bullseye     Jan 30, 2007 in Politics
Misunderstands persist about why losses were experienced by the U.S. in Vietnam and Russia in Afghanistan.
President Bush’s plan for a surge in U.S. troops does have the potential to be a winning strategy. History shows that insurgents are not strong enough to survive in a long term situation. Yet, the American public’s perception is different. “The Vietcong insurgency contributed greatly to the erosion of the American public’s will to fight, but so did the way that President Lyndon Johnson and the American military waged the war. It was North Vietnam’s will and American failure, not skillful use of an insurgency, that were the keys to Hanoi’s victory.” And the victory of insurgents in Afghanistan was not due to their own genius and strength but due to weaknesses in Soviet Union’s government and economy. Of course there are some successful insurgencies such as Castro in Cuba. Yet, these are the exceptions and not the rule. “Insurgencies generally fail if all they are able to do is fight an irregular war.” When the insurgents are able to establish a regular army then they can reshape themselves into an alternative governing authority that has the strength to defeat the opposing force. That has to be prevented. With the new surge of troops in Iraq an emphasis needs to be placed on providing security and removing the factions that are undermining the authority of the Iraqi government.
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